Skip to main content

Morning Update

Yahoo shares jumped 3% on Friday as trader responded to news that Yahoo’s Marrisa Meyer is pulling a play out of Google’s book and eliminating unsuccessful products en-masse. Yahoo announced that it would eliminate its BlackBerry app, along with Yahoo App Search, Yahoo Sports IQ, Yahoo Clues, and Yahoo Message Boards. This new policy comes in conjunction with a change in Yahoo’s description of itself in its 10-K. The old description as a ”premier digital media company” has been replaced with “a global technology company focused on making the world’s daily habits inspiring and entertaining.” Traders liked the new “less is more” policy out of Yahoo and the bullish stock trading spilled over into the options market, with over 5 calls trading for every put. One of the biggest trades of the day was the purchase of 2500 July 24/26 call spreads for $0.45 with the stock at 22.00.

This is a bullish bet that Yahoo will be above 24 .45 at July expiration, a 11% increase. The risk in this trade is limited to $0.45, but the reward is also limited to 1.55 for a maximum 344% return on risk should Yahoo close above 26 on expiration Friday. This morning shares are trading higher pre-market on news of an upgrade to Overweight at Barclay’s, which says that the company’s interests in yahoo Japan and Alibaba are undervalued.

Since Marrisa Meyer took the helm at Yahoo the company has been seen in a new light by investors, traders, and analysts. Although some of Meyer’s moves have been controversial, she is taking action and making the hard decisions that she thinks positions the company to get back on track for long term growth. This trade is a bet that the stock’s recent momentum will continue through the company’s next 2 earnings announcements. These should give traders an indication as the weather Meyer’s new policies are working, and whether value at Yahoo Japan and Alibaba is being unlocked and properly valued.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Is the KCJ Foreshadowing a 2008 Repeat?

The CBOE Correlation Index (KCJ) is close to the lowest level we have seen since it was first listed in 2007. The KCJ measures the implied movement of the S&P 500 components options, compared to the implied movement of the S&P 500 index options. Simply put, the higher the number, the more likely all stocks are going to move together. Conversely, a low number will be characterized by sector rotation, and flat markets; one sector moves higher, another moves lower.  (Source: Access Hollywood) Correlation, for lack of a better term, is correlated with volatility. Not surprisingly, 30-day S&P 500 historical volatility is near the low level of 6.5%. Currently at 33.5, KCJ is sitting close to rock bottom, lower than where it was in 2007, (but not lower than where Lindsay Lohan was in 2007).  So far this year, the market has been able to grind higher, characterized by leadership in FANG(Facebook Apple/Amazon, Netflix, Google) and sector rotation. A...

Morning Update

ECB officials said last night that ECB President Mario Draghi will likely wait to hear Germany’s Constitutional Court’s ruling on the EFSM before publicly unveiling his plans. Many were hoping Draghi would unveil his plan after the ECB’s September 6th meeting, but this is becoming increasingly unlikely. Today Reuters is reporting that Germany is the latest European nation to begin studying the possible impact of a Greek exit from the Euro. This comes ahead of Chancellor Merkel’s meeting with Greece’s Prime Minister today. Merkel has repeatedly said that she would like Greece to remain in the common currency, though clearly someone in Germany believes a Greek exit is possible outcome worth preparing for. This morning US new durable goods orders numbers we released for July, coming in at a gain of 4.2% M/M. Though this was strong than expected, it was primarily driven by strong aircraft sales. Non-defense orders excluding aircraft were down a sharp 3.4% M/M versus a 0.2% decline expecte...

Morning Update

This morning stocks, gold, and crude oil are all higher with VIX futures lower. This risk appetite is being driven by a report in the Financial Times that EU authorities are in “fresh talks” with the Spanish government to iron out details of a bailout before it is formally requested. This has helped the Euro regain the 1.3 level after selling off hard yesterday. Prior to Oracle’s earnings report yesterday after the close, one trader bought 20,307 Oct. 32 puts for $0.79 and sold the same number of the Jan. 34 calls for $0.98. This spread, known as a collar, was put on for a net credit of $0.19 and was likely used to protect the downside risk of holding a long stock position through the earnings announcement. Spreads like these are useful when you are long stock and bullish over the long term but believe the stock could dip in the near-term. By buying the Oct. 32 puts the trade is able to eliminate risk below that level. However, by financing the puts by selling the Jan. 34 call the tra...