Skip to main content

Chart Talk

Dan talks about the downtrend of market following a series of lower highs and lower lows. The S&P 500 breaks below the low of "flash crash" -- 1065 level and next support level is 1045 and 1020. Semiconductor HOLDRs (SMH) is especially bearish, even breaking the July low. However, based on the activity in the VIX, Dan feels the market's down move will be less volatile then previous tests of these levels.

Dan on First Business

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Is the KCJ Foreshadowing a 2008 Repeat?

The CBOE Correlation Index (KCJ) is close to the lowest level we have seen since it was first listed in 2007. The KCJ measures the implied movement of the S&P 500 components options, compared to the implied movement of the S&P 500 index options. Simply put, the higher the number, the more likely all stocks are going to move together. Conversely, a low number will be characterized by sector rotation, and flat markets; one sector moves higher, another moves lower.  (Source: Access Hollywood) Correlation, for lack of a better term, is correlated with volatility. Not surprisingly, 30-day S&P 500 historical volatility is near the low level of 6.5%. Currently at 33.5, KCJ is sitting close to rock bottom, lower than where it was in 2007, (but not lower than where Lindsay Lohan was in 2007).  So far this year, the market has been able to grind higher, characterized by leadership in FANG(Facebook Apple/Amazon, Netflix, Google) and sector rotation. A...