Skip to main content

Dark Pools and an FCX Trade

Yesterday, Cisco Systems breifly halted after triggering a circuit breaker according to the Nasdaq, causing a 10% move in 5 minutes. Brian gave his theory of what caused this issue yesterday on the Fast Money Final Call. Brian explained what dark pools do and what people don't understand about them. Basically, traders belong to a brokerage group and they send their order in, the dark pool attempts to match the order up with someone else on the opposite side at the same time and then the order is put up on the exchange. Brian explains the old style way where there was one central specialist creating liquidity on both sides but now there is dislocation because nobody knows exactly where the best bidder offer is coming from. He feels that we need to have one central location because everybody knows and understands where the order is coming in, which gives us more liquidity. Brian feels the stock market could get a nice rally if that were to happen because investors would feel more confident if we improve the system. There needs to be some sort of liability, you should be obligated to bid or ask at some certain level where you can't just pull away from the market if something doesn't look right. This way, we are obligated to provide liquidity.

Danger of Dark Pools

Later, Brian has a trade on FCX using a great overwrite strategy. The top end of the range price target for FCX is around $80 a share. Brian wants to give himself an exit point to the stock so he sells the Jan. 80 call for $4.75, if Freeport gets above $80 he is willing to be out of the stock. Here you will collect $4.75 which is about 6.5% of the value of the stock, you will collect a nice dividend or premium and lower the value of where you own the stock. Brian also mentions that in todays times, traders need to establish entry and exit points.

FCX Trade

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Is the KCJ Foreshadowing a 2008 Repeat?

The CBOE Correlation Index (KCJ) is close to the lowest level we have seen since it was first listed in 2007. The KCJ measures the implied movement of the S&P 500 components options, compared to the implied movement of the S&P 500 index options. Simply put, the higher the number, the more likely all stocks are going to move together. Conversely, a low number will be characterized by sector rotation, and flat markets; one sector moves higher, another moves lower.  (Source: Access Hollywood) Correlation, for lack of a better term, is correlated with volatility. Not surprisingly, 30-day S&P 500 historical volatility is near the low level of 6.5%. Currently at 33.5, KCJ is sitting close to rock bottom, lower than where it was in 2007, (but not lower than where Lindsay Lohan was in 2007).  So far this year, the market has been able to grind higher, characterized by leadership in FANG(Facebook Apple/Amazon, Netflix, Google) and sector rotation. A...

Morning Update

ECB officials said last night that ECB President Mario Draghi will likely wait to hear Germany’s Constitutional Court’s ruling on the EFSM before publicly unveiling his plans. Many were hoping Draghi would unveil his plan after the ECB’s September 6th meeting, but this is becoming increasingly unlikely. Today Reuters is reporting that Germany is the latest European nation to begin studying the possible impact of a Greek exit from the Euro. This comes ahead of Chancellor Merkel’s meeting with Greece’s Prime Minister today. Merkel has repeatedly said that she would like Greece to remain in the common currency, though clearly someone in Germany believes a Greek exit is possible outcome worth preparing for. This morning US new durable goods orders numbers we released for July, coming in at a gain of 4.2% M/M. Though this was strong than expected, it was primarily driven by strong aircraft sales. Non-defense orders excluding aircraft were down a sharp 3.4% M/M versus a 0.2% decline expecte...

Morning Update

Last night rumors that a Spanish bailout would occur in the near future strengthened, tightening Spanish and Italian bond yields to bunds. Even after the rumors that Spain would seek a bailout this weekend we denied risk-on sentiment remained. The Euro is now trading near the psychologically important 1.30 level and US equities are pointing towards a higher open. Yesterday the market also looked strong early on but gave back nearly all of its gains by the close. A strong close higher today will take some momentum back from the bears, while another reversal will only encourage more near-term selling. Yesterday we noticed unusual options activity in Best Buy. Someone sold 22,500 BBY Oct. 19 calls for $0.25 and bought 15,000 Nov. 19 calls for $0.90. This trade appears to be someone rolling their long Oct. calls forward into November. The Nov. calls will turn a profit if the stock is above 19.90 at expiration, which would require a 17% move from yesterday’s close. Best Buy has seen de...