Skip to main content

Unusual Option Activity

On Friday we saw options traders continue to gain long exposure to US financials and emerging markets, all of which are likely to appreciate as a result of QE3, but also noticed traders hedging themselves against the current trend of a weakening US dollar and rising S&P 500.

We saw 101,039 XLF Oct. 17 Calls trade on the ask for $0.12 as the ETF broke out to a new 52-week high. Friday’s put-call ratio in this ETF was 0.124, showing that traders are definitely expecting a continued move to the upside. This trade profits if XLF is above 17.12 at October expiration in 32 days, a 5% move higher from Friday’s close. We also saw 54,087 EEM Oct. 43.5 Calls trade above the ask for $0.744. This trader is betting that EEM will be above 44.244 at October expiration, a 4.5% move higher from Friday’s close.

In contrast to these bullish bets, we saw a trader buy 25,890 IWM Nov. 82 puts at the ask for $1.34 and finance this by selling an equal number of Nov. 78 puts for $0.66. The net cost of this trade is $0.68, and it profits if IWM is below 81.32 at November expiration. The motivation behind this trade is likely protection for a long stock portfolio heading into the election.

Another trader sold 13,161 UUP Oct. 22 calls on the ask at 0.109. UUP, the Powershares US Dollar Index Bullish Fund, has been down for the past four weeks in a row, so this is likely a trader selling a call against a long stock position to reduce positions downside risk.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

The Week in Review

One of the questions I get most from clients is how to generate yield when the Fed is on hold with rates at zero. For a while many defensive clients were content receiving their 3% annual yield from Treasury bonds, but the Fed’s most recent meeting minutes shows that the Fed’s pace of bond buying may soon slow. While I do not think tapering is likely before year end (unless economic data accelerates significantly) the bond market is forward looking and already beginning to price tapering in. Smaller Fed purchases of Treasury bonds will mean that bond yields go up and bond prices go down. Bonds have been in a multi-year bull market, and we may now be on the cusp of a multi-year bear market. The most important indicator to watch is the 10-year yield, which cracked the 2.10% level this week for the first time in a year. If we continue to hold above 2.05% in June, the top is likely in for bonds and borrowing rates will be on the rise for everyone, including the US Treasury. So, how am ...